Prediction markets are decentralized platforms for betting on future events with blockchain-powered transparency, accessibility, and secure payouts.

As their name implies, crypto prediction markets allow you to make money by betting on future outcomes of various crypto events. In general, prediction markets are divided into two types: sports and non-sports (crypto falls into the category of non-sports-related prediction markets).

Unlike traditional prediction markets, crypto prediction markets leverage 

, so they’re decentralized, globally accessible and highly transparent, especially in terms of price discovery. While traditional prediction markets carry most of the volume in this niche, there’s a growing demand for crypto prediction markets as crypto’s market cap continues to grow rapidly.

Let's dig deeper into crypto prediction markets and learn how you can capitalize on them to make extra money.

Prediction markets are platforms that allow you to trade contracts based on the outcome of future events. They’re fueled by the probability of an event occurring. When a bet favors the participant, they’re rewarded for their correct prediction.

Prediction markets offer an exciting interplay of finance, human psychology and the theory of probability that can lead to lucrative gains.

These markets can be centralized or decentralized. The centralized ones (e.g., Betfair and PredictIt) are operated by a single entity, so you’re required to trust them with the payouts and fairness of the outcome. Their decentralized counterparts — crypto prediction markets — are powered by blockchain technology, which eliminates third parties, thereby ensuring transparency and fairness.

The key features of prediction markets are price probability, aggregated wisdom and incentives that are given to participants as motivation for placing bets on outcomes of events. Some of the events supported by prediction markets include outcomes in sports (game winners), politics (election results), finance (stock prices) and weather (temperatures).

Centralized vs. Decentralized Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are broadly divided into centralized or decentralized markets, each with unique benefits and challenges. The centralized types are governed by a single company that manages various aspects of the prediction process. However, decentralized prediction markets rely on 

The key advantages of centralized markets are ease of use, better liquidity and quick dispute resolution. However, these centralized platforms also face challenges, such as government censorship, intermediary fees that eat into the payouts and the possibility of a single point of failure — especially in the event of a hack or technical outage.

On the other hand, decentralized prediction markets, such as Augur and Polymarket, have certain distinct benefits, such as censorship resistance, immutability, global access and lack of intermediaries. However, they also face challenges in the form of regulatory compliance, complexity of use and illiquidity due to low participation.

Crypto prediction markets are decentralized platforms for the forecasting of outcomes. They enable their participants to use cryptocurrencies in order to bet on the outcomes of future events. These markets are similar to 

 markets, in which investors bet on the prices of assets based on the outcome of future events.

Central to crypto prediction markets is the use of blockchain technology, which ensures transparency, fairness and security. As such, they have three key components:

Crypto prediction markets employ a systematic interplay of market creation, trading, resolution and payouts. They’re banking on market sentiment to fuel the probability of an event taking place, which may favor or discredit the bet placed by a participant.

The first step in this process is creating a prediction market based on various parameters, which may include event description, possible outcomes (e.g., yes/no), expiration date and resolution source. Any user can create a prediction market based on a given event.

Once the market has been created, trading begins. Participants can buy and sell tokens representing the likelihood of an event occurring. For example, a token may initially trade at $0.50 for “Yes,” representing a 50% chance of the event occurring. If more people buy “Yes,” the token’s price can rise to $0.70, in this case representing a 70% probability that the event will take place.

After the trading is done, market resolution occurs based on the outcome. At this point, oracles issue the result on the blockchain. Smart contracts proceed to issue payouts based on the winning outcome. The tokens with the winning outcome can be redeemed for full value, while those that lost the prediction become worthless.

Crypto prediction markets are governed by different market mechanisms that dictate their payout structures. Two commonly used prediction market mechanisms in the crypto space are the fixed payout and the pari-mutuel payout.

The fixed payout mechanism ensures a predefined payout for the winning outcome. Participants trade outcome tokens, and the market price reflects the probability of the event as estimated by traders. Traders buy or sell tokens that represent specific outcomes (e.g., "Yes" or "No").

Each token is priced between 0 and 1 (or $0 and $1), where the price reflects the perceived probability of the outcome. For example, if "Yes" tokens trade at $0.70, the market implies a 70% chance of that outcome.

At the event's conclusion, tokens for the correct outcome are redeemed for a fixed amount (e.g., $1 per token), while tokens for the incorrect outcome become worthless.

The advantage of this mechanism is that the payment structure is simple and predictable. Another benefit is that there's continual price discovery, since prices adjust dynamically to reflect market sentiment.

However, the fixed payout mechanism requires high liquidity to reflect the accuracy of probabilities. It also relies heavily upon oracles, which necessitates a high level of trust and accuracy in order to resolve the outcomes.

In a pari-mutuel structure, payouts are determined by pooling all bets and redistributing the total amount to winners after the event. All bets for each possible outcome are pooled together.

After the event, the total pool (minus fees) is divided among those who predicted the correct outcome. Individual payouts are proportional to the amount wagered by each winner, as well as the pool size.

Some key advantages of this payout model are its dynamic payouts, efficient pricing and fair distribution of payouts. However, this structure isn’t beginner-friendly, due to its complexity and non-intuitive manner. Also, unlike the fixed payout, where rewards are predefined, the exact payout rewards are uncertain until after the event.

That said, the fixed payout mechanism is ideal for those looking for a simple and predictable way to enter prediction markets, while the pari-mutuel payout favors more advanced users, who appreciate dynamic odds and collective market intelligence.

The crypto space has seen an influx of crypto prediction markets as more people continue to venture into this niche. Some of the notable crypto prediction platforms are as follows.

Considered one of the largest prediction markets, 

 provides a user-friendly and robust environment for participants to bet on real-world events using 

. The platform offers a wide range of markets, including crypto, sports, politics, pop culture, business and Elon Musk's tweets. The platform is powered bythe 

 network, which ensures secure, fast and low-cost betting transactions. It also has an active community of users, thereby ensuring high liquidity on the platform. Its user interface is beginner-friendly and simple to use.

, Augur is one of the earliest decentralized crypto prediction markets in the space. Developed in 2014 by Forecast Foundation, and co-founded by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug and Jeremy Gardener, Augur has remained a top platform for wagering crypto-powered bets.

The native token for the Augur platform is REP, an 

 token used to power the platform’s betting ecosystem via staking it to participate in the platform's reporting process. Meanwhile, ETH or 

 prediction market designed to open the niche to everyone. It runs on three Ethereum-compatible blockchains: Polygon, 

. The quality of its markets is maintained by its native POLK token holders.

-based prediction market that offers its users a wide range of events to bet on. Since it's built on Solana, participants can enjoy secure, fast and low-cost transactions on a user-friendly platform. You need to connect a web3 wallet, such as 

, in order to use Hedgehog. It offers various types of prediction markets, such as, pooled markets, the Classic “Yes” or No” and parlays (in which you use parlay cards).

 (DEX) that launched BET (Bullish on Everything) crypto prediction markets in August 2024, ahead of the U.S. political elections in November 2024. The platform claims to be highly capital-efficient and is built on Solana. Its growing number of categories span crypto, culture and sports such as Formula 1

Since BET is built on top of the Drift protocol, market participants can also benefit from yield-generating activities as they place their bets. You can create “structured bets” on the platform by hedging against popular cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin.

To incentivize participation, BET has introduced a rewards system called FUEL. During promotional periods, users earn FUEL tokens for each trade, which can later be redeemed for prizes within the Drift and Solana ecosystems.

You can utilize over 30 cryptocurrencies supported by the platform, including USDC and SOL.

Crypto prediction markets represent a fascinating evolution in the way we gather, interpret and act on collective knowledge. By leveraging blockchain technology, these platforms offer unparalleled transparency, decentralization and accessibility, empowering users worldwide to forecast outcomes in a trustless environment. With mechanisms like fixed payout and pari-mutuel payout, participants can choose structures that align with their preferences, balancing predictability and market efficiency.

The rise of platforms like Augur, Polymarket and Drift BET highlights the diverse approaches within this space, catering to a wide range of users, from casual bettors to sophisticated traders. Innovations such as low-cost transactions, multi-token support and integrated yield generation further enhance the appeal of these markets, making them more inclusive and dynamic.

However, challenges remain, including regulatory scrutiny, user adoption and ensuring fair market mechanics. As the sector matures, collaboration between platforms, regulators and communities will be critical to its long-term success.

 and prediction markets are highly speculative in nature, it’s imperative to be aware of the associated risks and conduct proper research before participating in these markets.

Intermediate

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What Are Prediction Markets in Crypto?

Lido Impact Staking (LIS), launched on January 15, 2025, allows users to stake ETH, stETH, or wstETH and donate a portion of rewards to social impact projects.

The S&P 500 rose 1.83% as softer inflation data and strong bank earnings boosted market optimism. Gold prices recovered after the ceasefire, now hovering near a 1-month high after renewed Fed rate-cut potential. Trade FX/gold markets with up to 500x leverage on Bybit MT5 using this 

Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance was up by 4.12%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising by 3.23%  and 6.85%, respectively in the past 24 hours. 

Today's top performer is XRP, which surged nearly 8.5% following growing speculation about a spot ETF and increased accumulation by large holders.

Ripple (XRP), launched in August 2012, is a blockchain technology company focused on improving international payments with its cryptocurrency, XRP. XRP surged, driven by speculation about a potential spot XRP ETF and large holders increasing their token holdings. The rally helped XRP reclaim its position as the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, fueled by growing partnerships, Ripple’s stablecoin launch, and regulatory optimism.

Check Out the Latest Prices, Charts, and Data of 

 (LIS), launched on January 15, 2025, allows users to stake ETH, stETH, or wstETH and donate a portion of rewards to social impact projects. It offers a decentralized, transparent model for sustainable funding, supporting initiatives like GiveDirectly and Treedom. Developed by Launchnodes with Lido’s support, LIS redefines philanthropy through Ethereum staking.

Yesterday, the BTC Spot ETF recorded total inflows of $723.2M, comprising $672.7M from non-GBTC sources and $50.5M from GBTC.

Solana-based DeFi exchange Jupiter launched an 

 for its upcoming "Jupuary" event, distributing 700 million JUP tokens (~$575M). Around 2 million wallets can claim tokens, with 440M allocated to users, 60M to stakers, and 200M for growth initiatives. The claim process begins next week, with a similar airdrop planned for January 2026.

Beginner

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Lido Impact Staking Revolutionizes Philanthropy Through Ethereum Staking; Gold Recovers Following Ceasefire

Swarms is a decentralized multi-agent AI and LLM orchestration framework for automating real-world activities at scale. Learn more now!

Large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4, Claude 2, Llama 2 and ALBERT enable enterprises to enhance efficiency, maintain a competitive edge and decrease operational costs. Yet, individual LLM-based artificial intelligence (AI) agents face multiple limitations restricting their capabilities to automate complex business operations on a large scale.

Swarms, a multi-agent AI and LLM framework, addresses these challenges by orchestrating numerous agents that work in collaboration at scale to automate real-world activities. Let's explore Swarms' AI solution, along with its core features and components and the tokenomics of the native SWARMS token.

 is a decentralized multi-agent AI and LLM orchestration framework for automating real-world activities at scale. It leverages the concept of a “swarm economy,” in which 

 agents operate autonomously and collaborate with each other to perform complex tasks with enterprise-grade reliability and scalability.

Swarms' multi-agent architecture contrasts individual-agent LLM models that struggle with deficiencies like 

, short-term memory and single-task limitations. Addressing these challenges, this AI project aims to build the infrastructure for a universal financial layer tailored to power the agentic revolution.

Swarms was founded by Kye Gomez, who first announced the project in September 2024. Gomez has been active in the AI scene since the age of 11, and has served as CEO of the boutique marketing data consultancy APAC Media and the real estate agency APAC Green Real Estate. In addition to being the founder and the chief executive officer of The Swarms Corporation, the organization behind Swarms, he’s also the CEO of the artificial intelligence-focused VC APAC AI and the director of the open-source AI research lab Agora Labs.

Swarms' AI network offers the following key features.

Swarms addresses the limitations of single-agent LLM and AI models with a multi-agent approach, and leverages the following components and mechanisms to solve complex tasks for clients.

Below, you’ll find a few practical examples of industries in which enterprises can implement Swarms' multi-agent AI framework to optimize their processes.

SWARMS serves as the native token in Swarms' ecosystem. Based on 

's SPL standard, it launched on December 23, 2024. SWARMS features the following key metrics at the time of this writing (Jan 10, 2025):

Holders can utilize SWARMS for the following use cases:

Over the past 14 days, SWARMS’ price has surged a whopping 2,085%, surging from a market cap of $16.8 million to around $350 million at the time of this writing.

Swarms' multi-agent AI and LLM framework addresses the existing challenges of single-agent systems by enabling enterprises to leverage the collective intelligence of several agents.

Additionally, the SWARMS token plays a vital role within Swarms’ ecosystem, offering utility as a medium of exchange, 

 and a base currency for agent tokens. Bybit users can now trade the 

, offering up to 20x leverage. This listing provides an opportunity for traders to gain exposure to Swarms' ecosystem and its rapidly evolving AI economy. 

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What Is Swarms (SWARMS): A Multi-Agent AI and LLM Framework

Sonic Labs has launched a new points program to drive DeFi growth and reward users. 

The S&P 500 gained 0.11%, led by utilities, financials, and materials, as lighter inflation eased yields. Focus shifts to December's inflation report and financial earnings. Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance was up by 3.03%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising by 3.14%  and 3.24%, respectively in the past 24 hours.

Today's top performer is A8, which surged 29.7% following the launch of Ancient8 SuperApp V3, an all-in-one platform for simplified Web3 management.

Ancient8 (A8), founded in 2021, is a gaming-focused Ethereum Layer 2 network using Optimism and Celestia to enable fast, affordable EVM game development with community-driven developer support. 

, a streamlined platform for managing Web3 activities. It combines staking, token swapping, liquidity management, an NFT marketplace, cross-chain asset bridging, and game discovery into a single user-friendly interface. The app simplifies processes, enhances security, and helps users maximize the potential of their digital assets, catering to both newcomers and experienced users.

 a new points program to drive DeFi growth and reward users. The program includes three types of points: Passive Points for holding whitelisted assets, Activity Points for deploying assets as liquidity on apps, and App Points (Sonic Gems) for developers to distribute as rewards via their apps. The initiative also features an airdrop of 200 million S tokens and incorporates Rings, a yield-bearing stablecoin protocol that provides liquidity to DeFi apps. Sonic's points program offers a dynamic way for users and developers to enhance their DeFi experience while contributing to the growth of the platform.

Yesterday, the BTC Spot ETF data showed a total flow of $9.7 million, with $0.0 million from GBTC and $9.7 million from non-GBTC sources.

, offering participants a chance to receive tokens as part of the platform's decentralization journey. The airdrop rewards key contributors, including early adopters, active community members, and global partners. Registration is open until January 18, 2025, and participants can claim tokens before the Token Generation Event (TGE) in Q1 2025. Plume's mission is to build a unified onchain economy that connects real-world assets with crypto, and the airdrop is the first step toward that vision. More details and eligibility information can be found on their official website.

Sonic Labs Launches Innovative Points Program to Drive DeFi Growth and Reward Users

Bybit Learn

Bybit Card

Learn how to activate your virtual or physical Bybit Card here. All from ordering to activating your Bybit Card. 

how to order and activate Bybit Card 1.png

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Using credit and debit cards for crypto transactions is more convenient than you may expect. In fact, users are struggling to decide which virtual cards to use as they compare the benefits of both 

. Since you’re reading, chances are you’ve decided on the 

 for a change — and to unlock more rewards in different financial spectrums. 

In this guide, we’ll give you tips and tricks on how to get started with Bybit Card — all the way from card registration and ordering to activation and utilizing it. 

Bybit Card is a Mastercard virtual crypto debit card that lets all cardholders easily spend crypto funds, unlock crypto rewards in each transaction and earn additional yields. 

Bybit Card is available to users in the EEA and CH regions, AIFC, Australia, Brazil and Argentina. The fiat currency that Bybit Card supports is 

automatically denominated based on your Proof of Address (POA) provided during your 

 (KYC) level 2 process. Meanwhile its six supported cryptocurrencies are: 

 your crypto and spend on the go. You can utilize funds earned from trading Spot, Derivatives, Options or Savings on Bybit to spend or pay for shopping expenses. The Bybit Card Loyalty Rewards Program includes cashback rewards, unique offers and exclusive events access 

One of the highlights of this card is its free annual or dormancy fee. Virtual cardholders are exempt from card issuance or account closure fees. However, users will be charged foreign exchange fees of 0.5% and a crypto conversion fee of 0.9% on top of the Spot rate. 

Another key benefit of Bybit Card is its convenience. The card automatically draws funds from your Bybit 

, so all you have to do is to simply deposit funds into your Funding Account. Furthermore, it can be added to digital wallets like Apple Pay, Google Pay and Samsung Pay. Finally, you can activate auto cashback to effortlessly enjoy your rewards.

Bybit Virtual Card vs. Bybit Physical Card

The Bybit Virtual Card functions similarly to a physical card, except that a Bybit Physical Card allows you to make in-store purchases that support contactless, chip or PIN payment. 

Bybit users who are eligible for this card and have passed the application process are entitled to use the Bybit Virtual Card instantaneously upon activation. 

However, users who wish to have the Bybit Physical Card must go through the 

The payment will be deducted directly from the user’s Funding Account on Bybit. Card delivery may take up to 30 business days to arrive, based on the preferred delivery method.

The Bybit Card application process is relatively simple and takes only a few minutes to complete. However, for security reasons, Bybit implements stringent requirements for Identity Verification in the card application completion process.

Follow the steps below to order your Bybit Card. 

: Sign up for a Bybit Account by filling in all of the details, such as your mobile number and email, and complete the 

to access the Bybit Card application page. Then, either click on 

: To complete the application, please select your 

: Fill in the details of your registered phone number and email address. If you haven’t set up the verification process, you’ll be prompted with instructions to set up Google two-factor authentication (2FA).

: For security reasons, applicants must set up their 

. Enter your email address and Google 2FA code to submit your application.

Only users who have successfully applied for the Bybit Virtual Card are eligible for the Bybit Physical Card. 

Note that the Bybit Physical Card is currently not supported in Brazil and AIFC.  

To initiate the process, please follow these steps:

: Click on the Physical Card application banner, and you’ll be led to a box to fill in details. 

: Set and verify your card PIN, which will be used for ATM transactions. 

: After confirming your details, click on 

: Once the details are verified, you may be prompted to the application page to complete the process by clicking on 

: Complete the application by paying a 5 EUR/USDT issuance fee for the Bybit Physical Card. Choose the desired payment mode and click on

 The pop-up on the screen should confirm your payment and indicate your application is successful. You may click on 

Card delivery might take up to 30 business days. Currently, only 

 users enjoy the DHL delivery tracking services. Please refer to this 

 if you haven’t received your card within 30 business days.

Which Countries of Residency Are Eligible for the Bybit Card?

Bybit users living in the following countries are eligible to apply for and order a Bybit Card. 

Currently only available for users with a residency from countries in the EEA (excluding Croatia, Iceland, Ireland, Liechtenstein and Romania), Australia and Argentina.

Bybit Card applicants must provide proof of address from the eligible 

(except Croatia, Iceland, Ireland, Liechtenstein and Romania), issued within the last three (3) months, for Level 2 Identity Verification. 

Based on internal risk evaluation, Bybit reserves the final decision to decline any applications at our sole discretion.

The Bybit Card can be used wherever merchants accept Mastercard. Since the Bybit Card is a debit card, you cannot use it for credit card transactions. Users can also withdraw cash with their Bybit Physical Card from any ATM worldwide that supports Mastercard. Illegal use in connection with your Bybit Card is prohibited, and may result in termination of your Bybit Card agreement. 

There is a 2% Bybit Card ATM withdrawal fee for any monthly amount that exceeds 100 EUR in the EEA, 100 USD in Australia and 95k USD in Argentina. 

Bybit Card foreign exchange and/or crypto conversion may also apply (if any). Some ATM merchants may charge an ATM Access Fee, and/or may prompt currency conversion to your card currency. These fees and services are provided by the ATM service provider.

Here’s an overview of the applicable fees: 

Using Contactless Payments With a Bybit Physical Card

You can make contactless payments with your Bybit Physical Card at retail merchants with contactless-enabled point-of-sales (POS) terminals. Please note that in order to initiate contactless payment, you’ll first need to complete a chip and PIN transaction (that is, insert your card into a POS terminal and authorize it with your PIN) using your Bybit Physical Card.

In Europe, contactless payment limits under the PSD2 regulation also apply to your Bybit Card. Currently, the maximum amount for a single contactless payment is 50 EUR, and the maximum cumulative amount for contactless payments is 150 EUR. 

The maximum number of consecutive contactless payments is five (5), and any contactless payment transaction exceeding these limits will be declined. You may reset the limit by performing a chip and PIN transaction on your next payment, after which you can once again make contactless payments.

We understand that accidents do happen, so we’ve streamlined the process to help you get a new Bybit Physical Card. 

To initiate the replacement process, you’ll need to report the loss or damage of your physical card by following the steps below. 

: Log in to your Bybit account and head over to the

Select the cause for the replacement. If your card has been compromised, choose ‘It’s lost or compromised (fraud, stolen, etc.)’. If you still have it in your possession but wish to replace it due to damage, choose the option‘It’s damaged or doesn’t work.’ and click on

 toinitiate the replacement process for a new Bybit Physical Card. 

Need more help or info related to your Bybit Card? We’re here to help. 

The Bybit Card has been created to help you off-ramp your crypto and earn more rewards as you spend. We understand some crypto credit or debit card application processes may be lengthy and complicated, so we’ve simplified everything for you to get started without hassle. Simply prepare your verification documents, such as proof of address and identity and a valid email address, and you’re all set. Start spending and earn with Bybit Card today.

How to Order and Activate Your Bybit Card (A Complete Guide)

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards